Word: consumerized
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It's a question with lots of facets. What will consumer spending look like? What will government deficits look like? What will my hair look like? But some of the most crucial unknowns have to do with corporate profits. Profits are, after all, what stock prices are supposed to be...
In any case, the future path of corporate profits should eventually determine whether the stock market will keep rising, whether companies will start hiring again, whether this recovery will feel like much of a recovery or not. And while Wall Street's analysts are all making (for the most part...
This is where hopes of an Asia-led rebound are most tenuous. After a dozen years of excess, the overextended American consumer is tapped out. The "green shoots" crowd - those believing global recovery is nigh - drew special encouragement from a 2.2% rebound in real U.S. consumer expenditure in the first...
Hit by the triple whammy of collapsing property values, equity-wealth destruction and ongoing unemployment shock, the American consumer is unlikely to spring back overnight. In fact, with asset-dependent U.S. households remaining income-short, overly indebted and savings-deficient, subdued consumption growth is likely for years. This is because...
If export-led China doesn't get a kick from the American consumer, a relapse for China-dependent Asia is a distinct possibility next year. Don't be fooled by catchphrases such as "green shoots" and the "Asia century." In the aftermath of the modern world's worst financial crisis...