Word: pollsters
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Dates: during 1980-1989
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...doable," says Norman Ornstein, a campaign analyst for the conservative American Enterprise Institute. "Clearly, for all his horrible problems, Dukakis remains within striking distance." Richard Wirthlin, pollster for the White House and the Republican National Committee, states flatly, "Dukakis can still win." As evidence that 10-point swings in the last weeks of a campaign can happen, he points to the 1980 election: as late as Oct. 20, Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan were even, but Reagan won by 9.7 points. Wirthlin, perhaps to pump up the G.O.P. troops, puts Dukakis' chances of bringing off a similar turnabout...
Though Dukakis had long resisted making such an appeal because of its "divisive" overtones of class war, it is about his only chance now. "He should set up as many 'them vs. us' formulas as he can," says Democratic pollster Peter Hart. Amazingly, it has been the Republicans, led by preppy Bush, who have succeeded in painting Dukakis and his followers as a bunch of Harvard-Brookline liberal elitists. The Democrats' failure to capitalize on latent populist resentment, says a senior Bush campaign aide, "is the biggest surprise of the campaign. They just never figured...
...still win," says a G. O. P. pollster. But as Bush holds on to a commanding lead, the Duke needs a big break -- plus more of the populist passion he showed last week. -- Jesse Jackson is back on the stump for the Democrats -- and for himself. -- Nancy Reagan returns some designer dresses. -- Should the U. S. double the cigarette tax? A campaign Essay on health care...
...Post poll, done Oct. 12 through Tuesday, found virtually no movement. It put the race at 52-45, little different from its 51-45 result for Oct. 5-11. John Brennan, an ABC pollster, noted that debates historically produce little or no sizable change in voter sympathies...
...survey of 444 registered California voters by pollster Mervin Field gave Bush 50 percent over 41 percent for Dukakis, with the remainder undecided...