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...Saddam's game plan, naturally, is first and foremost to avoid a war that his regime can't survive. The Iraqi leader knows that while Washington's policy of "regime-change" in Iraq has little international support, its demand that Baghdad comply unconditionally with UN disarmament requirements has unanimous backing. So, by cooperating with the inspection process - galling as that may be - Saddam hopes to prevent Washington assembling a coalition against him. His game plan, then, appears to be based on doing everything to avoid provoking military action. In a rambling address to the party faithful this week, Saddam insisted...
...administration to respond to Iraq's much anticipated weapons declaration. Washington won't even get to see the document delivered on Saturday, and comprising more than 11,000 pages, until next week. The Security Council decided on Friday to delay distribution of the document to Security Council members until UN inspectors have analyzed its contents and determined whether any portions need to remain classified, in order to avoid making information public that could help others manufacture weapons of mass destruction. The Security Council will be briefed on the declaration by UNMOVIC chief Hans Blix early next week...
...even if the Iraqi declaration, required in order to comply with the "last chance" UN Security Council Resolution 1441, had been delivered straight to the White House, the response might not be immediate - nor especially dramatic. While some media outlets in search of cliffhangers and Washington hawks looking to get the war started have suggested that an Iraqi declaration deemed false by Washington - such as proclaiming itself free of prohibited weapons - would in itself constitute a trigger for war, the reality is more complex. Efforts to build a coalition to attack Iraq have underscored the centrality of the UN disarmament...
...rush to military action. They emphasized instead that the Iraqi declaration is the start of a process that Washington believes will, eventually, make an incontrovertible case for war. And debates continue among President Bush's security advisers, along familiar lines, over just how to long to wait for the UN process to make that case...
...meeting his disarmament obligations rather than on the inspectors to find proof that he isn't. Rumsfeld warned that inspectors might well never turn up any sign of the programs Washington insists Iraq continues to conceal. But if even such crucial allies as Turkey are insisting on UN endorsement of an attack, then plainly the consensus on the Security Council cannot be dismissed as easily as the Defense Secretary might hope. And unless the inspection process turns up incontrovertible evidence of continued Iraqi WMD activity, or Iraq blocks the inspectors, the U.S. has little chance of winning UN endorsement...