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...presidential primaries, where voter opinion is much less certain and is affected by more intangibles. But to those who object to having their opinions computerized, the discomforting truth is that the major polls have been astonishingly accurate in predicting presidential elections ever since the miscalculations of the Harry Truman upset of Thomas Dewey in 1948. Since that time, however, the largest discrepancy between the final Gallup reading, for example, and a presidential-election result was the 4.4 points by which Gallup underestimated Dwight Eisenhower's voter popularity in 1952. After that, Gallup's biggest miss was the mere...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: POLL OF POLLS **: The Chasm Narrows | 10/9/1972 | See Source »

Good Grace. The real eye opener, however, was the selection of Daniel, the suave, courtly son-in-law of Harry Truman. Daniel turned 60 last week; the newspaper of record omitted his age both in its press release and its published story. Toward the end of his five-year tenure as managing editor, in 1968-69, Daniel chafed at having to operate in close proximity to James Reston, the Times superstar who outranked him at the time as executive editor. Sidetracked to speechmaking and a variety of special projects, Daniel took his transfer with typical good grace and has lately...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Press: Surprise at the Times | 10/2/1972 | See Source »

...attempt to isolate him from the rest of the Democratic Party continued as Nixon headed westward from Miami Beach on his opening campaign trip. Addressing the annual convention of the American Legion in Chicago, he invoked the names of such Democratic Presidents as Woodrow Wilson, Franklin Roosevelt, Harry Truman, John Kennedy and Lyndon Johnson as having spoken often "in eloquent terms of the need for a strong national defense." On the other hand, again without naming McGovern, Nixon warned against those who "gamble with the safety of the American people under a false banner of economy." Legionnaires rose, cheering, when...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: THE CAMPAIGN: A New Majority for Four More Years? | 9/4/1972 | See Source »

...time because he refused to tone down a speech attacking not just McGovern, but the Democratic Party. While he waited in the wings, the name of his opponent. Lyndon B. Johnson, drifted through Convention Hall along with those of other prominent Democrats, ranging from Franklin D. Roosevelt to Harry Truman to Richard Daley. And much like expatriates paraded before the Old Country's press. Democrat after Democrat was brought forth to confess conscience-rending decisions to cross party lines and support the President. George McGovern was just too radical. Two Democrats for Nixon were even included among 11 seconds following...

Author: By Robert Decherd, | Title: A Republican Roadshow Swamps Miami | 9/1/1972 | See Source »

...controversy she had the knack of simultaneously joining the battle and remaining above it. She needed to, if only to survive her sons' destructive political forays. In 1948 Elliott's tenacious effort to draft Eisenhower for the Democrats discomfited his mother as well as President Truman and the general. Lash sums up the situation in 1952 with one terse sentence: "Not only was James for Kefauver and Franklin Jr. Harriman's campaign manager, but Elliott and John had come out for Eisenhower" (who was by then the Republican candidate...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Books: Roosevelt Sequel | 8/7/1972 | See Source »

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