Word: triggers
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Dates: during 1980-1989
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...problem is complicated by developments on the supply side--that is the second relatively "new" element. Large oil price increases--a quadrupling between 1972 and 1975 and a doubling in 1979--cause a speed-up in the Consumer Price Index that in turn tends to trigger larger wage increases; the core rate of wage-price inflation is ratcheted up to a higher level. One-shot oil price increases will tend permanently to increase the underlying rate of inflation...
...these potential scenarios might draw support from Iran's ethnic minorities, whose demands for cultural and political autonomy ? local languages in schools, local governing councils ? have been rebuffed so brusquely by Khomeini's government as to trigger armed rebellion. Iran, a country three times the size of France, was officially designated an empire by the Shah, and in one sense it is: its 35.2 million people are divided into many ethnic strains and speak as many as 20 languages, not counting the dialects of remote tribes. The 4 million Kurds, superb guerrilla fighters who live in the western...
...movements could tear away parts of some of those countries as well as of Iran, leaving a number of weak new countries ? the kind that usually tumble into social and economic chaos ? and dismembered older ones. All might be sub to penetration. Anarchy in Iran could also trigger a conflict with its uneasy neighbor, Iraq, which shelled border areas of Iran three weeks ago. The geopolitical stakes there would be so great that the superpowers would be sorely tempted to intervene...