Word: sprinkel
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Dates: during 1970-1979
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Although President Carter will face tremendous political pressure during election year to curb prices, board members felt that he would not try to impose mandatory wage and price controls, and that any attempt to do so would be disastrous. With the exception of Beryl Sprinkel, who figured that there is almost a 50% chance that the President will go for controls, most board members gave that prospect only a 20% to 40% chance. Carter first would need congressional authority and, as the debate raged on Capitol Hill, businessmen would rush to raise prices to get in under the wire. Further...
...BERYL SPRINKEL: "I'm delighted," says Sprinkel, executive vice president of Chicago's Harris Bank. "The Fed's actions greatly increase the odds of getting inflation under control in the longer run." Sprinkel has long argued that the old policy of trying to control the money supply by fine-tuning key interest rates often forced the board to pump more funds into the economy than it wanted to, thus aggravating inflation. "Now that they are focusing on central control of [banking] reserves," he says, "and assuming they follow through, I think it assures that we are going...
...push up the unemployment rate. He also thinks the stock market had good reason to flop: "Some of the doubting Thomases who believed we would have at most a mild recession now realize we are going to have a real recession that could significantly reduce profits." Nonetheless, Grove, like Sprinkel, believes that the recession will be less severe than it would have been had inflation been allowed to rage on unchecked...
...even the populist Carter Administration has backed Volcker's high-interest policy. Yet banks have had plenty of money to lend anyway-perhaps too much. In the past month, the money supply has grown at an annual rate of 11.5%. Beryl Sprinkel, executive vice president of Chicago's Harris Bank, argues that this "hemorrhaging" must be stanched if inflation is ever to be curbed...
...economists' forecasts, which are strikingly similar for a group with such diverse philosophical views, call for a mild recession to begin in the summer. It is even possible that a recession has already begun. More likely, notes Beryl Sprinkel, executive vice president of Chicago's Harris Bank, "the economy is slowing in a pattern that is typical of a prerecession peak...