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More significant is the number of troops that the North Vietnamese are permitted to leave in South Viet Nam -145,000 by Washington's estimate, 300,000 by Saigon's. "What kind of peace is it," President Thieu demanded recently, "that gives the North Vietnamese the right to keep their troops here?" His pessimistic prediction is that a "next war" will be required to destroy the country's Communist underground. "This war may last six months, one year or two years," he says. "It will decide the up political future of Viet...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Cover Story: What Lies Ahead for Saigon | 2/5/1973 | See Source »

...Paris accord calls for a National Council of National Reconciliation and Concord, composed of the Saigon government, the Provisional Revolutionary Government and South Vietnamese neutrals. Its effectiveness will be limited, if not paralyzed, by the fact that any action it takes must be unanimous. But as Thieu well knows, the council could eventually be transformed into a base for a new "coalition" of Communists and neutrals that could bring him down. In his forthcoming discussions with the P.R.G., Thieu is unlikely to give an inch on any crucial issue...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Cover Story: What Lies Ahead for Saigon | 2/5/1973 | See Source »

Partly because of Thieu's cunning political footwork, his position today is very strong-much more so than it was three months ago. He has stayed on working terms with the U.S. while tightening his control over the Saigon government. He has also shown that he can stand up to American pressure, and this in turn has increased his popularity at home. His army is large and well equipped, and is assured of continued U.S. military assistance on a one-for-one replacement basis. He will also have the help of perhaps 5,000 civilian advisers...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Cover Story: What Lies Ahead for Saigon | 2/5/1973 | See Source »

Other Wars. For this reason, many U.S. officials in Saigon anticipate a gradual increase in anti-Americanism. Some, in fact, believe that Thieu himself has already begun to encourage such a trend. After a recent speech by the President to a group of officer cadets at Dalat, several trainees spread the word that the Americans had conspired to permit Communist infiltration of South Vietnamese cities in the Tet offensive of 1968, that the U.S. was dilatory in delivering air strikes at Quang Tri City during the Communists' 1972 offensive, and that Henry Kissinger had betrayed South Viet...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Cover Story: What Lies Ahead for Saigon | 2/5/1973 | See Source »

...numbers, props and pledges count, however, the new ICC team that began to arrive in Saigon over the weekend should have a better chance than the old one. The Geneva commission, which fluctuated anywhere from a few score to several hundred members scattered in as many as 14 locations, had virtually no means of transportation and precious little cooperation. South Viet Nam did not sign the Geneva agreements, and therefore claimed it was exempt from ICC control -North Viet Nam did sign them but was no more helpful. The new commission will have 1,160 members located at 55 trouble...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Cover Story: The ICC: An Extinct Species Reborn | 2/5/1973 | See Source »

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