Word: likelihoods
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...look at the school's possibilities for raising the money. He knows the fund-raisers' code: one third of a campaign will come from 10 gifts, one third from 100 to 200 gifts, and the remaining third from the rest. The first important question centers, then, on the likelihood that 10 contributors will meet one third of the drive's goal...
...other hand, a scholarship was offered for only whites, or only Muslims, the Corporation in all likelihood would accept it on the grounds that there would always be enough whites, or Muslims, in the University to avoid its becoming designated for specific individuals. The Corporation, in this case, might also decide not to give the scholarship to freshmen so that the scholarship qualifications could not cause discrimination in admissions...
...workable arrangement would be to call young men in their twenty-first year in an order of call determined by lottery, but with the lottery taking place in the young man's nineteenth year. At age nineteen a young man would have a good idea of the likelihood of his being called two years later, and could anticipate his service by electing to be drafted at age nineteen or twenty. A longer period of choice might have the unhealthful effect of inducing young men to speculate unduly on changes in the prospects for war and peace or even for changes...
...awaited them at age twenty-one and a strict denial of dependency exemption at age twenty-one would not then involve significant hardship. This arrangement would substantially eliminate the issue of college-student deferment: and it would benefit the college student by letting him know at age nineteen the likelihood that he would be called at twenty-one, so that he could make his own choice whether to complete college before or after military service...
...that the potential of "wars of national liberation" has been overestimated. There will be few such successful wars. Where they are successful they will not automatically produce regimes inimical to vital U.S. interests or subservient to Chinese interests. However, prolonged American military involvement in Vietnam may well increase the likelihood of other successful "wars of national liberation." We further find that, in a desperate attempt to achieve what can only be a hollow victory in Vietnam, present U.S. policy is leading directly to war with China...