Word: likelihoods
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Disarmament among the five nuclear powers can be the only true step toward world peace. Because there is no likelihood of this at present, most nations will go along with the nonproliferation treaty in hopes that it will induce the nuclear powers to disarm in the future. Some nations like Japan will sign the treaty simply because they know they can get out of it relatively easily. Under Article VII any country can withdraw within 3 months "if it decides that extraordinary events, related to the subject matter of this treaty, have jeopardized the supreme interests of its country," This...
...likelihood is, of course, that our Mayor--like most Mayors (and Congressmen)--will struggle through his term fighting dilemmas based on group competition instead of resolving them...
Everyone knows the poverty program has been cut back--and will in all likelihood continue to be reduced by Congress. There is little hope that serious resources from Washington will be forthcoming in the near future...
Nonetheless, he remains far from euphoric about the likelihood of a quick breakthrough to negotiations, and he is properly reluctant to give Hanoi a tactical and propaganda advantage by permitting the talks to be held in a disadvantageous setting. The last time that happened, he recalls only too well, was in 1951, when preliminary talks on ending the Korean War were held behind Communist lines in the village of Kae-song. U.S. officials were forced to thread through a hostile crowd and display white flags when they went to the table. The chief American negotiator, Vice Admiral C. Turner...
...even though Johnson was tagged a lame duck as soon as he announced his intention to withdraw, he is now in fact a bird of rather singular muscularity. He retains the allegiance of countless party regulars, labor officials, businessmen and civil rights leaders. There is every likelihood that his rating in the public-opinion polls will rise considerably as a result of the renunciation. Together, these factors will give him considerable leverage, which he has not had in recent months. And Lyndon Johnson, who above all else craves a favorable verdict from history, will undoubtedly use those levers...