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...sliding again is when the media seeks out the pessimists among the bureau for famous analysts and financiers. Wilbur Ross and George Soros are getting too much air time. They rarely have good things to say about the future. They may be making bets in the market that key economic measurements will deteriorate so their motives are suspect. But, they are probably right anyway. Billionaires have proven track records for prescience. Once they begin to circle, it is almost certain that something is about...
...This is partly because officially, Social Security is still running a substantial surplus and will be throughout the next decade, according to the CBO. A key source of that surplus, though, is interest payments on federal debt held by the Social Security trust fund. It's money that Social Security has definitely earned, but it's coming out of the rest of the federal budget. Same goes for employer contributions to Social Security for federal employees, which also boost the program's bottom line but not the government...
...copper, iron ore and bauxite. The secretary-general of China's Iron and Steel Association, Shan Shanghua, has already hinted that Chinese buyers could have some additional clout. This rankles some of Rio's major shareholders. "It's up to Rio to convince us that this does not transfer key pricing power over a key commodity to a big customer," says a large institutional shareholder. Chinalco has tried to allay such fears, and Chinalco president Xiong Weiping says Rio's corporate strategies and management practices would remain unchanged...
...years ago, the Chinese called it their Going Out strategy. State-owned companies in key industries were encouraged by the government to plant the flag of Chinese capitalism around the world by purchasing stakes in foreign companies. China was flush with cash and full of optimism--naive optimism, it turned out. Beijing's fledgling sovereign wealth fund China Investment Corp. poured $3 billion into New York City--based private-equity firm Blackstone in return for a 10% stake in the company--just before the bottom fell out of U.S. debt and equity markets. That deal was followed...
...key, as in most monetary matters, is long-term credibility. But for Europe, it is also about honoring standing promises. After all, the EU was part of the “value proposition” offered by the West after the communist grip on the region collapsed. It has arguably brought strengthened institutions, representative democracy, and better respect for human rights. Even though these countries may not be technically ready for the euro just yet, the ECB should push for its adoption in order to further integrate nations like Hungary and Poland. Only Europe can deliver them from a potentially...