Word: gdp
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...argue with the numbers. As a candidate, he pledged Thais would have more money in their pockets in six months, thanks to his programs for suspending farmers' debts, nationalizing bad loans and doling out seed money for small enterprises to every village. But after half a year, GDP is down 1.4%, exports have dropped 11.7%, investment has fallen by 6% and private consumption by 0.4%, and bad debts are still plentiful. Thaksin blames the world economic slowdown, but while others cautioned that was coming, he still promised boom times. Not all the numbers are heading south. Unemployment...
ROMAN: Value significantly underperformed growth as recently as 1999, which was the widest return differential in many decades. So last year was just the start of a needed adjustment. In an economic decline with declining gdp and falling interest rates, value stocks are going to continue to do better...
...mention the other-shoe problem of cheaper Nissans made with cheaper foreign steel needing tariffs of their own to spare GM. It ain't quotas - raising product prices to prop up commodity prices is not a smart way to grow an economy in which services are 80 percent of GDP and consumers pull 66 percent of the economic weight. And Paul O'Neill going to Japan and telling them to shut down two plants so two can live in West Virginia? A superpower that believes in its own American Way doesn't go strong-arming for charity...
...consumers are still spending - the contraction that began in March is expected to give way to some form of recovery in the next six months. An extra $75-$100 billion in tax cuts, extended unemployment and extra health insurance might add a few tenths of a percentage point to GDP growth in 2002 - but it's not going to change the schedule appreciably...
...another 220 points to 10,114 and the NASADAQ up 83 points to 2046, was impressive in that it wasn't tied to any earth-shattering piece of good news. Well, there was the National Association of Purchasing Management's report on the services sector - 80 percent of GDP - which showed a spike in the NAPM index to 51.3 in November from 40.6 in October. And a bunch of analysts said - surprise! - good things about some tech bellwethers...