Word: wrongful
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Dates: during 1980-1980
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...chairman, who sat in on the meeting. But the ritual had one touch of humor. Hurrying to the briefing, Bush bounded up the steps of 712 Jackson Place and began shaking hands with puzzled secretaries from the Harry S. Truman Scholarship Foundation before he realized he was at the wrong building. Said Bush to newsmen: "You can always tell the new kid on the block...
After being so right for so long about presidential elections-the pollsters' findings had closely agreed with the voting results for most of the past 30 years-how could the surveys have been so wrong? The question is far more than technical. The spreading use of polls by the press and television has an important, if unmeasurable, effect on how voters perceive the candidates and the campaign, creating a kind of synergistic effect: the more a candidate rises in the polls, the more voters seem to take him seriously...
Looking for explanations of what went wrong, Wirthlin believes that the other pollsters erred by estimating that there would be more Democrats in the final body of voters than there turned out to be. He also criticizes the others for asking the key presidential-choice question first instead of last, after asking about issues and impres sions of the candidates. This, he insists, produced a pro-Carter bias...
...throw out our techniques just because one poll produced a different number. In fact, if we were doing this all again, I would not change a single thing except to poll the last two days of the campaign. To believe their figures, too many other people have to be wrong...
...Neft at Harris thinks Mitofsky's post-election poll was wrong and was designed to explain away earlier numbers. Neft dismisses the notion that huge changes occurred at the last minute. Says he: "Nothing like that quantity and magnitude happened." He explains the Harris four-point discrepancy by citing unex pectedly low turnout among Democrats on Election Day, a view shared by Gallup...