Word: votes
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...underestimated the depth of opposition among his own base. Paisley's followers had confidently predicted he would be reelected as Free Presbyterian moderator last week, but the strength of feeling at the church meeting changed all that. A deal was crafted that allows Paisley to step down without a vote. In return, critical articles were taken off the Internet by his opponents, although they described his removal as "a start...
...overestimated the dictator's popularity. More than a dozen parliamentarians from Musharraf's own party have defected to Sharif's faction, and Bhutto's PPP is also fracturing over the prospect of supporting Musharraf. Even with Bhutto's backing, it is no longer certain that Musharraf could muster the votes to retain the presidency. "He is in a shoestring situation," says Iftikhar Gilani, the former Law Minister under Bhutto. "He needs each vote, and he doesn't have a clear majority. Once he starts counting the votes, he will realize that he will not have enough, and will have...
...sentiment. Even members of Bhutto's party are planning a rally to welcome their erstwhile foe. "Sharif's return has become a referendum between democracy and dictatorship," says Ahsan Iqbal, information secretary for Sharif's Pakistan Muslim League party. "So by going to support Sharif, you are casting your vote against Musharraf...
...majority of House Republicans are unlikely ever to break ranks and support such a plan. So Bush has little to fear from the Democrats, for all their promises to change course on the war. And there's a bonus in this for the President as well: if a close vote makes it to the floor of the Senate, Bush can allow most of the moderate Republican Senators who are up for re-election next year - Norm Coleman of Minnesota, John Sununu of New Hampshire and Gordon Smith of Oregon - to vote with the Democrats. That would permit endangered Republicans...
...That doesn't mean the Democrats will stop trying. A faction of Democrats has sought to make some kind of vote on the Iraq war a regular occurrence, simply to force Republicans to go on the record as supporting Bush. It is likely that some of the votes that take place this fall will be as much about the future of Congress as about the future of Iraq. There are a dozen Republicans in both houses who are in very tight races next year. A vote for the status quo, Democrats believe, is priceless advertising fodder in the coming election...