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Additionally, a truly open election would be bad for Egypt as a nation. If Gamal Mubarak is not brought into office by the forces of political nepotism, the Muslim Brotherhood may gain enough support to win the election, as citizens might be driven to vote for the Brotherhood as a simple reaction to the Mubaraks’ perceived dynasty. In reality, however, a reactionary vote, much like the Palestinian’s vote for Hamas last year, would be supporting a radical Islamic regime—a decision they may later regret. In this case, voting for the alternative?...
...Black voters in Texas didn't show up in record numbers for Obama - turning out, as a percentage of the vote, in lower numbers than in 2004. The Obama campaign is hoping the low turnout was a one-time fluke; if it wasn't, states like Mississippi, where black voters made up 56% of primary voters in 2004, could get a lot tougher to win for the Illinois Senator - not to mention states like Pennsylvania, where blacks made up roughly...
...There is some good news for Clinton in this survey. First, she is winning independent voters. Second, we have heard rumors that Republicans voters might engage in the primary in higher than normal numbers, so that they can vote for Clinton, and thus keep the Democratic battle going. There is some evidence that this trend might be developing," said InsiderAdvantage's Matt Towery. "Finally, Clinton has a demographic that she could possibly go after to gain votes. She currently trails among women in Mississippi, but leads among men. If she could turn the uniqueness of becoming the first woman President...
...same time, two other polls, ARG and Rasmussen, show Obama leading by 24 and 14 percentage points respectively. And although the primary is open, voters must have registered 30 days ago to vote, which could limit the number of Republicans making a last-minute decision to back Clinton. But the limited registration may also hurt Obama. "The heat of a campaign matters in getting people engaged," says Bob Brown, a political science professor at the University of Mississippi. "Thirty days ago, that heat didn't exist in Mississippi - not nearly as much as it does now, anyway...
...better or for worse, today's results are likely to be picked over again and again for any kind of trends - blacks, whites, men, women, young, old - as Misssissippi is the last state to vote for the next six weeks, until Pennsylvania's April 22 primary. As they like to say in Mississippi, this election will now start running slower than molasses rolling uphill in January...