Word: turnout
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...campaign was a low-key affair—voter turnout dropped to under 14 percent—and Connolly drew fire for his campaign tactics after he distributed two anonymous flyers that attacked incumbent City Councilor Stephen J. Murphy...
Texas has one of the longest - 10 days this year - early voting periods in the country; and the turnout tends to a follow a familiar pattern, says Rice University political scientist and pollster Bob Stein. It's heavy for the first three days and the last three. With the caveat that this year's election is breaking familiar patterns (particularly the magnitude of the numbers voting), Stein says that it will likely benefit Clinton initially. "I expect Clinton would benefit from 'early' early voting only because her polling numbers were higher before the campaign came to Texas," Stein said. "Since...
Wrong. On Tuesday, the first day of early voting, election officials across the state reported a record turnout. In just one day in the state's 15 most populous counties, some 65,000-plus voters went to grocery stores and bank lobbies, rec centers and libraries to vote. Some images are startling: 1,000 Prairie View A&M students, a traditionally African-American college in a rural area west of Houston, marched seven miles to the nearest early voting station. And in a state requiring no party registration to cast a ballot, two out of three early voters...
...both a primary, where the bulk of the state's 228 Democratic delegates are decided, and an evening caucus. Further clouding matters is that delegates are not awarded proportionally along congressional district lines, but instead are done based on state senate districts, with areas that had higher turnout in recent presidential and gubernatorial elections getting bonus delegates. That could mean that Obama could snag more delegates than expected by doing well in places like inner-city Houston and liberal Austin, while Clinton's supposed advantage with Latinos in South Texas might not provide her with as big as a windfall...
...Factor #3 could favor Obama: Ohio is an open primary, which means just about any registered voter can walk into a polling place and request a Democratic ballot. A state Democratic party official told TIME he expects expect turnout to reach or exceed two million votes - more than twice the turnout in the 2004 primary. One Ohio labor official, who is unaligned with any campaign, summed up the uncertainties: "Is Ohio going to go like the rest of the country or will it be its typical conservative self...