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Under Cambridge's complex proportional representation voting system, "number one" votes are what count. But if a candidates does well enough (or badly enough), his votes are "transferred" to the candidate marked number two (see page for a more detailed explantions). If either Sullivan "makes quota" (gets ten percent of the total vote) in the first count, their surplus will be distributed to the next candidates. There is only one maxim to remember here: CCA votes are much more likely to transfer to other CCA candidates. Therefore, if David Sullivan and Walter Sullivan each went a few hundred over...

Author: By William E. Mckibben, | Title: Predicting the Unpredictable | 11/2/1981 | See Source »

...half of Graham's total, despite the CCA's endorsement. This year, the CCA dropped its support of Thompson, endorsing only one Black candidate, Graham. And the absence of Severlin Singleton--a Black who picked up 547 votes in 1979--should also help Graham, who won more of his transfer votes than Thompson...

Author: By William E. Mckibben, | Title: Predicting the Unpredictable | 11/2/1981 | See Source »

...coalition. Should she be elected, she will likely side with liberals on issues other than housing; Her campaign has been getting more attention than expected, and if she does not win she seems prepared to run strong enough to scare the CCA. Many of her votes will likely transfer to Abt, who is also seen as a moderate on housing issues; Independent candidates backed by the Cambridge Condominium Network may also pick up some of Wilkes' support...

Author: By William E. Mckibben, | Title: Predicting the Unpredictable | 11/2/1981 | See Source »

...Tremendously high slate allegiance among their own voters. As the count wears on, and candidates like Bob White and, most likely, Preusser are eliminated, their votes must transfer to others in the slate...

Author: By William E. Mckibben, | Title: Predicting the Unpredictable | 11/2/1981 | See Source »

...very low transfer rate among the Independent candidates. If Fantini is eliminated, for instance, his votes must go either to Vellucci or out the window. If they end up behind Clinton, he will be elected...

Author: By William E. Mckibben, | Title: Predicting the Unpredictable | 11/2/1981 | See Source »

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