Word: sovereigns
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China now allows most of it major companies to be privatized and traded on public stock exchanges. It is the largest owner of U.S. Treasuries in the world and a major investor in private businesses through its sovereign wealth fund. The Chinese banking system has clearly been developed by the government to encourage the creation of private enterprise. Parts of the financial and commercial structure of China are still owned by the state, but the government's once-famous totalitarian grip on the economy appears to be loosening some each year...
...there a part of the world you are especially worried about? I'm worried about every part of the world. People thought the rest of the world would decouple from the U.S. That was nonsense. Emerging Europe is on the verge of a fully fledged sovereign-debt, banking and currency crisis. I think China is in a near recession right now. Many emerging markets, even those that are in better shape, are in severe trouble. I don't think there is any economy in the world right now that is safe...
...might default on their debt, nations such as Ireland and Ukraine, need to stop changing hands at distressed levels. If the bets on these nations being able to shoulder that own national financial obligations improve, it is a sign that global credit is becoming available, at least at the sovereign level, and that the IMF has been able to get commitments from the "richer" nations to provide credit to those that are in trouble...
...central banks of the G7 and a number of smaller Western European countries that if some of the nations in Eastern Europe default on their debt, the world may look as it did three decades ago when several Latin American nations struggled to make payments on their sovereign obligations. (See pictures of printing money in Germany...
...Federal government could not have imagined that the defaults on sovereign debt from countries in South America would make Citibank technically insolvent in the 80's. But it happened anyway...