Word: scenarioed
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Titillating Irony. The most prevalent scenario imagined that worst possible case raised a while back by Secretary of State Henry Kissinger: a new oil embargo that threatens the "strangulation of the industrial world" and causes the U.S. to invade the oil-producing countries to seize the wells. One of the countries would, so this theory goes, undoubtedly be Saudi Arabia; so the U.S. invaders would be confronted with U.S.-trained defenders. The irony may titillate, but the fact is that an attack on Saudi Arabia is a very remote possibility; and in any case, Saudi Arabia's regular forces...
After 35 years of coaching, Barnaby's former Harvard henchmen dominated both the singles and the team competitions. The scenario was almost comical. One-by-one Barnaby's proteges would approach him for advice on how to defeat an opponent. A few minutes later that opponent, also a Barnaby product, would ask him for tips on how to beat the original player...
Lately, however, a kind of new optimism about the future size and strain-causing potential of OPEC surpluses has been gaining vogue. Several revisionist studies suggest that the OPEC surpluses may not be all that troublesome. The most sanguine of these, a "scenario" published last month by Manhattan's Morgan Guaranty Trust Co., estimates that OPEC's total surplus could peak at $248 billion in 1978, and diminish to $179 billion by the decade's end. The World Bank sharply revised its earlier prediction for 1980 down to $250 billion, expressed in 1974 dollars (that figure does...
Cartel Break-Up. The super-optimistic scenario is that some OPEC nations that run into deficits will try to increase revenues by stepping up oil production. If demand does not increase at the same time, they will ask Saudi Arabia and the other surplus countries to cut back their own output to keep the cartel's production constant. And that could break up OPEC...
Once that has been done, ERDA officials hope to build more advanced experimental reactors, followed by a 500-megawatt demonstration power plant in the 1990s, and working fusion power plants that use only deuterium as a fuel by the end of the century. If that scenario can be successfully followed, the term "energy crisis" will become obsolete. There is enough deuterium in the world's oceans to fill mankind's energy needs for untold centuries to come...