Word: quinnipiac
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...Peter Brown, an independent pollster of swing states at Quinnipiac University, put the McCain problem into stark historical relief last week, when he released polls from Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, which all showed McCain slipping. "Senator John McCain has his work cut out for him if he is to win the presidency," Brown said. "There does not appear to be a role model for such a comeback in the last half-century...
...McCain has reason to focus on these female voters. Going into the convention, surveys showed he was not bringing them aboard in the numbers he needed, particularly in the swing states that he must win in November. Pre-convention polls by Quinnipiac University, for instance, showed McCain with a huge "gender gap" in states like Ohio, Minnesota and Wisconsin, where his support among white women trailed his numbers among men by 20 percentage points, and in Colorado, where the spread was 30 points...
...will benefit Obama. Will residents identify with his campaign platform of hope and change? Or will they agree with McCain, who wants to depict Obama as an out-of-touch elitist? In the end, it may come down to religion. The city is heavily Catholic, and in a recent Quinnipiac poll Obama trailed McCain statewide among Catholic voters, 36% to 51%. Obama also trailed McCain among all voters in northeastern Pennsylvania (39% to 50%). The pollsters, however, began conducting the poll before Obama put Biden, a Catholic, on the ticket. Doherty, a Democrat, says he's hopeful Obama...
...Democrat already has a leg up on McCain. According to a new Quinnipiac poll, Obama holds a ten-point edge among Colorado's union voters. The trouble for Obama is that only 8% of Colorado's workers are unionized, well below the national average. That's why Professor Scott Adler of UC-Boulder doubts union votes will be a difference-maker: "I don't think you could just win with only union voters," he says...
...commercial that Obama canceled a visit to wounded troops because television cameras were not allowed. The charge lacked evidence, but it still managed to knock the Obama campaign off message. "The status quo means McCain loses. He's got to change things," says Peter Brown, an independent pollster at Quinnipiac University who believes, like many others, that McCain must define Obama to undecided voters. "So, what choice does he have...