Word: polling
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Dates: during 1980-1980
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...latest public opinion poll conducted for TIME by Yankelovich, Skelly and White discloses just how close the race is once again. Carter and Reagan are deadlocked at 39% each, while Anderson's support is 15%-precisely the level set by the League of Women Voters for him to qualify as a "viable" candidate and therefore earn a third spot in its crucial opening debate, set tentatively for Sept. 21 in Baltimore. Carter, who insists on meeting Reagan first without Anderson, still threatened last week not to appear if the Congressman was included. The league's directors were...
Though Carter and Reagan are even up in the race, the poll discloses areas of serious slippage for Reagan in important areas. For one thing, 59% of those preferring Carter claim they do so out of a positive feeling for him: they like his "experience," and consider him "safer" in foreign affairs. Only 45% of Reagan's followers feel a similar sense of confidence in their choice's ability to get things done and to answer the need for a change. At the same time, Reagan's rating on abilities regarded as important by voters has declined...
This time the survey was deepened to poll more thoroughly in the nation's key industrial states (Indiana, Michigan, Illinois, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Jersey and New York). The aim was to detect any notable shifts in the blue-collar vote. Large-scale defections from the Democratic Party helped both Dwight Eisenhower and Richard Nixon win the presidency and today seem vital to Reagan's prospects. So far, no real switch has been found. Carter leads by 10 percentage points among blue-collar workers, setting these states up as some of the key battlegrounds between now and November...
Anderson must move immediately. Improving his poll percentages enough by the end of next week to be included in the debates staged by the League of Women Voters is only the most pressing challenge. Anderson has to develop themes and strategy quickly to convince voters that he offers a positive alternative, not just a name that is neither Carter nor Reagan. Says John Sears, Reagan's former campaign manager: "You have to give people positive reasons to stick with you. Anderson has not done that very well...
...campaign quickens, the Congressman is not leading in any state. On the other hand, an ABC News-Louis Harris poll indicates that if voters thought Anderson had a genuine chance to win, enough would choose him to give him the lead in eight key states: California, New York, Illinois, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Ohio, New Jersey and Massachusetts-a group that would produce 216 of the 270 electoral votes he would need to win. But since most voters think he has no chance, he fares badly in the surveys. His best big-state performance is in California, where the last Mervin Field...