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...Iran has the advantage here is an understatement. Every attempt to curtail its nuclear program has failed. Obama's outreach in the first year of his Administration produced neither a change in Iran's behavior nor a willingness among other countries to increase the pressure on Tehran. The Administration currently claims it is making progress toward tougher sanctions, and the President said this week that he hoped the Security Council would pass a new sanctions resolution this spring. But it is increasingly clear that any new U.N. sanctions, if they come, will contain few new penalties. (See pictures...
...That leaves the Administration hoping the appearance of unanimity will prove more convincing than the actual sanctions. Which explains why Obama will make such a big deal out of the coming talks. The Administration hopes the unity on nonproliferation will make Iran think twice about flouting international agreements. And the goals of the two conferences even have the backing of hawkish U.S. critics of Obama's Iran policy. "These programs are worthwhile, and they were continued in [the] Bush [Administration]," says John Bolton, who represented the previous Administration at the U.N. and who advocates a military strike against Iran...
...There are certainly parallels. In 1994, Bill Clinton's favorability poll numbers were at 51%, about where Obama's are now. And the Dems were polarized by a series of tough (and strikingly familiar) issues: a carbon tax, gays in the military and health care. But will history repeat itself, with the party in power bearing the brunt of a wave of discontent? Here are five reasons the 2010 midterm scenario is different, and perhaps less dire for the Democrats, than 1994's. (See the top 10 alternative political movements...
...Gingrich, an outsize personality whose Contract with America manifesto gave congressional Republicans a simple and accessible platform around which to rally voter discontent. This time, there's no clear-cut, dynamic leader to spearhead the charge and challenge Obama the way Gingrich challenged Clinton. On the other hand, in 1994 no one knew who Democratic House Speaker Tom Foley and Democratic Senate majority leader George Mitchell were. These days, the faces of Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid are plastered all over GOP attack...
...contrast, Obama has managed to pass the stimulus; is working on a bipartisan solution to DADT, which looks set to pass with relatively little controversy; and passed health care reform after a yearlong struggle. Whatever the bill's faults, health care is a big win. Indeed, many in the Obama Administration argue that all Dems would be far worse off right now if health care had failed...