Word: northern
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Dates: during 2010-2019
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...first is closely related to a philosophical idea popularized by Soros himself: reflexivity. Originally developed as a sociological concept, reflexivity incorporates the essential feedback loop between cause and effect into analysis. This is best illustrated through self-fulfilling prophecies; think about a bank run à la Northern Rock: If rumors abound about a bank being illiquid, depositors will self-fulfill the prophecy by queuing to clear their accounts. There is a ‘tipping point’ for bubbles or bursts alike, which explains where market performance is anything but normally distributed. As Nassim Taleb made a career...
...1990s; where the government has waged, in Darfur, what the Bush Administration called genocide; where the President, Omar al-Bashir, is the first head of state to be indicted by the International Criminal Court; and where 2 million people died in two civil wars between the south and the northern government in 1955-72 and between 1983 and 2005, conflicts that left the entire country awash with guns...
...reason for the north to plan secretly to stop the south breaking away could be an understandable desire to avoid follow-on Balkanization. South Kordofan and Blue Nile state, in particular, are a concern: both previously fought with the south but will likely end up on the northern side of the border...
...There's also the question of economic viability. Most of the oil is in the south, hence Deng's offer to share oil revenue. "People think I'm selling out," he says. "I'm trying to prevent a [northern] collapse that would affect not just us but Egypt, Chad, Libya and Ethiopia." (See pictures of oil fires...
...international role model. Smart, flexible and cohesive, the services have been seasoned by working in contrasting terrains and in conflicts with a wide range of allies against myriad opponents. The guerrilla war against the U.K.'s colonial administration in post-World War II Malaysia and the stubborn conflict in Northern Ireland endowed British commanders with invaluable expertise in counterinsurgency. They learned different lessons in the Falklands, Bosnia and Sierra Leone. (See a brief history of WWII movies...