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...only member of the Board of Economists to predict a recession next year is Beryl Sprinkel, executive vice president of Chicago's Harris Bank, and he foresees a mild and brief one. His forecast: real G.N.P. will drop 2.4% in the third quarter next year and 3.2% in the fourth quarter, but start back up in early 1980. Alan Greenspan, formerly President Ford's chief economic adviser, also sees a recession?but not until 1980, and then so gentle that it will just about meet the technical definition: two successive quarters of declines in real G.N.P...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Business: No Crash of '79 Coming Up | 10/2/1978 | See Source »

...cutting income taxes but to reducing the Social Security tax increase coming next year. Treasury Secretary Blumenthal would give more of the cuts to people with taxable incomes of $20,000 to $50,000 a year. But the form of cuts for individuals stirred only mild controversy...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Taxation: Spreading Consensus to Cut, Cut, Cut | 9/25/1978 | See Source »

...earlier Indiana outbreak to an air conditioner with a bacteria-contaminated water supply. City inspectors swarmed through the district, taking water samples from air-conditioning systems, and draining and sterilizing rooftop tanks where the water was stored. Below, sanitationmen hosed down the streets and added a dash of mild pine oil to sweeten the smell...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Medicine: Malady in Manhattan | 9/25/1978 | See Source »

...Secretary Michael Blumenthal and Federal Reserve Board Chairman William Miller want him to start a tough program immediately. Vice President Walter Mondale and some other advisers also favor a strong program-but after the November congressional elections. A third group, including Domestic Policy Director Stuart Eizenstat, wants a relatively mild program, because a hard one would hurt Carter with labor and minority groups...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Business: A Stage Two with Teeth? | 9/18/1978 | See Source »

...compromises: the Postal Service abandoned its effort to abolish a contract's ban on layoffs; the unions accepted relatively moderate pay and cost-of-living increases of 19.5% stretched over three years. It was the only major union contract this year to be settled on such mild terms, and Administration officials hailed it as a victory over inflation...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Nation: Postal Strike? | 9/4/1978 | See Source »

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