Word: kiriyenko
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...month ago it appeared as if Boris Yeltsin had chosen a graduate student to lead Russia's government. But after finally prevailing in a bruising confirmation battle, Prime Minister Sergei Kiriyenko looks "articulate, very bright and quite authoritative," says TIME Moscow bureau chief Paul Quinn-Judge. "His standing has definitely improved as he remained unfazed throughout the verbal hammering he's faced." Yeltsin's baby-faced protégé won easily in today's Duma vote after a secret ballot allowed a number of Communists and other opposition members to quietly defect in order to avoid the dissolution...
...confirmation may be the easy part for Kiriyenko. "Now he has to prove himself in actually governing the country, and that's going to be a lot more difficult," says Quinn-Judge. Especially with a parliament in no mood to cooperate after Yeltsin forced them to back down. The Duma could be forced to play ball under threat of dissolution but, despite his extensive powers, Yeltsin can't yet dissolve the country...
...usual, says TIME Moscow bureau chief Paul Quinn-Judge. If deputies are asked to vote openly, the likely outcome will be dissolution of the legislature and new elections. The Communist-led opposition is committed to a third rejection of Boris Yeltsin's youthful nominee for prime minister, Sergei Kiriyenko, which would force Yeltsin to close down the Duma and hold new elections. "Despite their fierce public resolve, a secret vote will allow those in the opposition whose votes have been bought, or who don't want to face new elections, to simply confirm Kiriyenko in secret," says Quinn-Judge...
...only did Sergei Kiriyenko fall 80 votes short of confirmation, the opposition mounted a court challenge against his renomination by Yeltsin. "In these situations, people can become hostage to their own propaganda," says Zarakhovich. "The opposition may have gone further down this road than they had intended to." While dissolving the legislature has been Yeltsin's trump card, "the opposition may be confident enough of winning new elections to fight all the way," says Zarakhovich. "And this is Russia, where emotions can easily take over rationally laid plans...
...diplomatically. But, he adds, the pair "are paying due attention to the situation, and will respond appropriately if the time comes." If Yeltsin does have to step aside, then the responsibility of running the government will fall on the shoulders of the new and untested Acting Prime Minister, Sergei Kiriyenko...