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...economy's rate of expansion slipped from a boomy 9.2% in the first quarter to a merely salutary 4.4% in the second. The Commerce Department's June index of leading indicators, the Government's key barometer of future business trends, inched up only .3%, the smallest rise in seven months...
...Montreal, it seemed almost atavistic. Gone, at least for now, are the days when the superpowers smugly split up the men's track and field medals between them, leaving only scrap iron for the satellites of sport. The victors' list last week read like a Rand McNally index, with 13 nations sharing the 23 gold medals (a division of spoils that might have been even wider had the Africans been competing). Mexico, Cuba and Trinidad fielded their first champions, and Guy Drut brought France its only gold since 1956 when he popped over the last 110-meter hurdle...
...months. Most of the rise was accounted for by higher prices for food and fuel. That was anticipated; those prices actually dropped during the first quarter, a trend that could not continue. The current rise in food prices is expected to moderate. Excluding food and fuel, the Consumer Price Index rose at an annual rate of only 5.5% in the second quarter, an improvement over the first quarter...
Frost-Struck. To be sure, the increases are not yet anywhere near as dizzying as those of 1973, when some prices quadrupled. But there is cause for concern. One closely watched index of prices of 13 industrial raw materials, published weekly by the Economist of London (and calculated in dollars), has risen 34% since last November. Quotations on the London commodity markets, which determine prices for many international transactions, are somewhat overstated since they are expressed in sterling and the pound has been sinking sharply in value. Even so, they are worrisome. Some examples: the sterling price of copper wire...
Spiraling inflation was the major factor that turned the 1971-73 boom years into the worst global recession since the 1930s. Two of the hallmarks of the last inflation are once more highly visible: rising commodity prices (one key index has climbed 30% since last November) and sharp increases in the money supply in some countries, notably France (where it is currently growing at an annual rate...