Word: complexity
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Dates: during 2000-2000
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Eventually they'll even understand you. The 10-year horizon promises the birth of both natural-language software that "understands" many complex sentences, and broadband data speeds that make online video ubiquitous. The average software product in 2010 could well have a face, a voice, ears and something resembling a brain, which suggests that our next great challenge will be figuring out what we really want...
...human genome may be the greatest breakthrough in human history, but it is just a beginning. To get to the good stuff, like gene therapy and hyperefficient drugs, scientists need to analyze the chemistry of 50,000-100,000 proteins encoded by our genes. But proteins are notoriously complex and finicky (a little heat or mishandling, and they break down like Scarlett O'Hara) and need to be treated gingerly in a process that was expected to take decades. Harvard biochemists MacBeath and Schreiber have found a way to speed things up with Protein Microarrays. Using a robotic...
...this decade, it will be possible for people without technical training to use an even more sophisticated generation of design tools to create complex electronic and mechanical systems. Many products will be designed not by research-and-development departments (at least not directly) but by professionals who understand the needs of their markets, aided by increasingly intelligent Web-research tools. Even consumers will design their own products, ranging from their clothes to their homes. We will continue to regard these machines as tools, but they will emerge as remarkably powerful amplifiers of the human creative process...
...faster than today's human inventors, accomplish? What would they invent? Well, for one thing, they would invent technologies that would allow them to become even more intelligent (because their intelligence is no longer of fixed capacity). They would change their own thought processes to think "bigger" and more complex thoughts--and to think them faster. When and if these "inventors" evolve to be a million times more intelligent and operate a million times faster, then in today's terms, an hour would result in a century of progress...
...build something and interact with it than philosophize about it," she says. "Or philosophize about someone else doing it." But at the same time, she has used robotics to explore some subtle intellectual issues. At M.I.T., Breazeal has studied brains and cognitive science, and her work with Kismet raises complex issues about how humans think and learn...