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...mixture of censure and selective sanctions aren't working, then all that's left is engagement. The Nargis relief effort could provide an opportunity for "a more open relationship" with the generals, the former British diplomat Derek Tonkin has argued, while the U.N.'s humanitarian chief John Holmes, who toured the Irrawaddy delta last month, spoke of a "positive door" opening to the regime. Let's hope they're right. Even its most implacable opponents recognize that the Burmese military is not just the problem, but also part of any solution. Suu Kyi - a soldier's daughter - has always said...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Staying Alive | 8/8/2008 | See Source »

...Protests during this anniversary month seem unlikely. But then Burma is a big country and hard to predict: both the 1988 uprising and last year's protests took Burma watchers by surprise. It's even tougher to read the country's secretive military rulers. The chief general, Than Shwe, is 75 years old and by some accounts ailing, but it would be naive to assume that his demise will fracture or enfeeble the military. Over the years, senior Burmese generals have either died (Ne Win in 2002) or been purged (Khin Nyunt in 2004), and each time the military...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Staying Alive | 8/8/2008 | See Source »

...heels and fight back, he could conceivably call upon time-tested allies. He survived the past few months with the help of Washington and the army he once led. The Pakistan Army has a record of unchallenged unity and may not wish to see one of its longest serving chiefs humiliated. But will it risk further damaging its image by intervening? Gen Ashfaq Kayani, the new chief, was appointed by Musharraf and served as his intelligence chief. But Kayani has been keen to distance the army from politics and is likely to keep to that course...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Musharraf in the Crosshairs | 8/7/2008 | See Source »

...judges will return to their original positions after an "executive order" has been passed. Until now, the issue threatened to split the delicately stitched alliance. Sharif pulled his ministers from the cabinet after Zardari backtracked on an earlier agreement. The PPP has had deep reservations about Iftikhar Chaudhry, the chief justice who sparked Pakistan's political crisis last year when he refused to resign under pressure from Musharraf...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Musharraf in the Crosshairs | 8/7/2008 | See Source »

...equivocation lost the PPP considerable support as critics accused it of trying to preserve Musharraf in office. There were charges of vested interest: the Musharraf appointed-court had cleared Zardari of corruption charges against him through an amnesty issued by the president. Chaudhry, the deposed chief justice, has threatened to revoke that order. In the end, after a long night of negotiations, Zardari relented. The only injustice perhaps left is that Chaudhry will have no say in Musharraf's fate. He will not return to the bench until Musharraf is out of office...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Musharraf in the Crosshairs | 8/7/2008 | See Source »

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