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...Analysts in Japan say the U.S. faces a similar situation today. The Fed's recent rate cut "is better than doing nothing, but it will unlikely work so much as it did in the past," says Masaaki Kanno, chief economist at JPMorgan Securities in Tokyo. Hiromichi Shirakawa, chief economist at Credit Suisse in Tokyo, believes that the Fed may bring its rates down to zero by the middle of 2009, as the U.S. economy slows in coming quarters. "Will it be effective or stimulative? My answer is not necessarily so," he says...
...fearful, you're crazy.' JAMIE DIMON, chief executive of JPMorgan Chase, on concerns about an impending credit-card crisis...
They only look as if they inhabit our galaxy. In truth, the men who would be President have been running for months in a parallel universe, a place where a Chief Executive changes laws by waving a hand and reorders society at the stroke of a pen. "When I am President," the candidates declare - and off they go into dreamspeak, describing tax codes down to the last decimal point and sketching health-care reforms far beyond the power of any single person to enact. In their imaginary, reassuring cosmos, America is always a mere 10 years - and one new President...
...Reserve Alan Greenspan - not known for his colorful public statements - professed "shocked disbelief" at the "tsunami" that has plunged global finance into disarray. He predicted a deep recession that will cost jobs and devastate balance sheets across the economy - "much broader than anything I could have imagined." When the chief economic advisers to McCain and Obama met recently for a debate, they found little to agree on. But they shared the realization that the new President's options will be severely constrained by an economy in turmoil. Douglas Holtz-Eakin conceded that McCain's promise to balance the budget...
Finally, there is the strongest, and perhaps the least predictable, force of all: public opinion. As the current President proved, a Chief Executive with two-thirds of the public behind him can steamroll almost any rival influence. In a single year when Bush's approval rating floated as high as the low 70s, he launched a war, reorganized the Federal Government and passed a vast expansion of Medicare. Forty percentage points later, he's the lamest duck since Harry S Truman. The public today is anxious, skeptical and dissatisfied. Record numbers say the country is on the wrong track...