Word: cheneys
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...opportunities attract big names. The list of would-bes, maybes and wannabes already includes former Vice President Dan Quayle, Senators Gramm and Bob Dole, ex-Cabinet members Jack Kemp, Dick Cheney, Jim Baker and Lamar Alexander and Governors Pete Wilson of California and William Weld of Massachusetts. (And maybe Pat Buchanan, the two-fisted talking head, but he's given little chance to last beyond the first primary.) Though the real campaign season won't begin until later, some of the big names were on display last weekend for one of the notable pre-season events: the Washington conference...
...able to make any realistic picks, but he appears to have as good a chance as anyone. Bob Dole is "old, cold" and he's been around forever. Jack Kemp appears to have little support from the party. Phil Gramm does not appear to have the following. Dick Cheney has been out of sight, though his name has been mentioned. Powell Baker? The list and arguments can go on for ever, but amazingly enough, Dan Quayle is in the running...
Ever consistent, the cerebral but dull Cheney (he makes Baker appear charismatic by comparison) reflects the views he unsuccessfully advanced when Haiti was his headache. "I said during the Bush Administration and I say today that we should forget about it," Cheney says. "Haiti's a mess. That's too bad. It was a mistake for us to begin the sanctions Clinton's continued. They only hurt the poor, the people who deserve better since we won't allow them into the U.S., which is the right policy. We should lift the embargo and focus on really important things, like...
This disagreement on sanctions reflects a deeper difference about U.S. support for fledging democracies. Cheney and Baker both describe Aristide as "a leftist," but Baker insists that the exiled leader's politics are immaterial. Those like Cheney "who urge walking away because Aristide isn't our kind of democrat are wrong," says Baker. "If supporting democracy is a cornerstone of our foreign policy, which it is and should be, then you can't treat what democracy produces as a fruit salad, taking a raisin here while rejecting a pecan there. The test should be whether Aristide was chosen...
Neither Baker nor Cheney believes returning Aristide to power in Haiti will encourage other Caribbean countries to become more democratic. In fact, both discredit signal sending as particularly important in foreign affairs, except as a "negative incentive," says Baker. "I never thought our resolve in getting Saddam out of Kuwait would deter the Serbs in Bosnia or the coup that overthrew Aristide," explains Cheney in an analysis Baker shares. "It doesn't work that way unless, like Clinton, you talk loudly about using force and then fail to follow through. When you project weakness consistently you do embolden bad guys...