Word: binning
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...Victory without bin Laden...
...unlikely to have waited around for the stronghold's inevitable collapse before making his getaway. It's always possible that he miscalculated the speed of his enemies' advances, of course. But he's the head of an organization whose operations tend to be meticulously planned, years in advance - if bin Laden had always planned to slip away once Afghanistan became too dangerous for him, he's more likely to have implemented a carefully-laid escape plan with plenty of decoys and red herrings, than to be improvising a haphazard retreat. And he's unlikely to go to ground...
...Demonizing a foe and then failing to destroy him can be bad for a nation's morale - witness Saddam Hussein still cropping up on Washington's to-do list a decade after the U.S. marshalled a half million allied troops to confront him in Kuwait. Sure, bin Laden may yet turn up among the corpses or the stragglers of Tora Bora. But if he doesn't, he will have scored a significant short-term propaganda victory and created some major political headaches for Washington...
...Bin Laden's escape plan...
...Unless bin Laden turns up in the next couple of days in the Tora Bora area, the likelihood is that the U.S. military campaign in Afghanistan will begin winding down without having delivered a number of the most prized leaders in the enemy camp. Pursuit of the world's most-wanted terrorists will become, once more, an intelligence-and-police operation. President Bush insists they'll be brought to justice, but many Americans had expected to see the moment come before Christmas. Despite America's dramatic successes - destroying the Taliban regime and al-Qaeda's infrastructure, killing hundreds...