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...Bringing bin Laden to justice has been a nonnegotiable U.S. war aim since Sept. 17, when President Bush declared that he wanted the al-Qaeda leader dead or alive. But with the trail growing cold, White House aides have lately offered a new definition of victory. "If he's unable to perpetrate terrorist attacks, we win," says one. That's not enough to quiet the private grumbles of dissent in both parties about the failure of the Pentagon and CIA to plink their top target. Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, a Vietnam war hero and Democratic presidential aspirant, is among those...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Osama Bin Laden: DEAD OR ALIVE? | 7/1/2002 | See Source »

Even with bin Laden at large, the U.S.-led effort to dismantle his global network is yielding some returns. Last week Saudi officials announced the arrest of 13 al-Qaeda operatives believed to be planning attacks on U.S. military installations. American officials acknowledged that Syria has detained Mohammed Heidar Zammar, a German national of Syrian origin believed to be a recruiter for the Hamburg cell that produced Mohamed Atta (see box). But the arrests of low-level operatives won't necessarily lead the U.S. closer to bin Laden. Some counterterrorism officials believe that al-Qaeda has no middle management, which...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Osama Bin Laden: DEAD OR ALIVE? | 7/1/2002 | See Source »

...elusiveness, bin Laden probably hasn't strayed far from the region. Huge swaths of southern and eastern Afghanistan are still controlled by militants sympathetic to the Taliban and al-Qaeda. Omar is believed to have taken shelter in the mountains near Kandahar; in May he purportedly gave an interview to a London-based Arab newspaper in which he vowed to defeat the U.S. and claimed bin Laden is alive. The CIA believes bin Laden fled Afghanistan and is holed up in the tribal areas of northwest Pakistan, a rugged, desolate region that's nearly impossible to monitor. "It's literally...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Osama Bin Laden: DEAD OR ALIVE? | 7/1/2002 | See Source »

That's a nightmare scenario for American intelligence. In the past, the U.S. has tried to nail bin Laden by tracking him electronically, using surveillance drones to listen to his communications and then drop a bomb fast. But military and intelligence sources say that since December his signal has gone dead. If he is hiding in a place like Karachi, he probably forgoes modern technologies. "You can't listen in when people don't talk," says a Pentagon official...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Osama Bin Laden: DEAD OR ALIVE? | 7/1/2002 | See Source »

Even if U.S. spooks get a bead on bin Laden inside Pakistan, the options for finishing the job have become riskier. American commandos don't have the local knowledge to work effectively in Pakistan's tribal areas, and any U.S. military hit on Pakistani soil could inflame the country's restive population. Though a few U.S. intelligence agents are said to be in the tribal areas, a covert operation would require Pakistani permission, which President Pervez Musharraf is loath to offer. Pakistan has sent troops and helicopters into the tribal areas to help find bin Laden...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Osama Bin Laden: DEAD OR ALIVE? | 7/1/2002 | See Source »

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