Word: bernstein
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...problem, it appears, is that few people think Citigroup's earnings rebound is sustainable. Following the bank's strong earnings announcement, analyst John McDonald, who covers Citi for Sanford C. Bernstein, cut his estimates of what the bank could make next year. Instead of his earlier projection that Citi would turn a profit in 2010, McDonald thinks the bank will be solidly in the red next year, losing $3 billion. In his report, McDonald said investors should worry about "the earnings power and strategic direction of the franchise amid all the change and increased government ownership now under...
...advisers who wrote the paper, Christina Romer and Jared Bernstein, went on to land key jobs in the Obama Administration. Romer is the head of Obama's Council of Economic Advisers, and Bernstein is the chief economist and economic-policy adviser to Vice President Joe Biden. And the stimulus bill that both economists championed became law in mid-February. What has not come to pass, however, is the boom in job creation that Romer and Bernstein predicted. A little over a month ago, the Administration said the stimulus bill had created or saved 150,000 jobs. That...
...while the stimulus plan may eventually reach its goal, a look at the paper Romer and Bernstein wrote back in January shows that at least for now, the stimulus plan is at best off to a slow start. The two economists did say in the report that they expect the bulk of the jobs created by the stimulus to happen in 2010 and 2011. Nonetheless, the report says that even by the middle of this year, the stimulus bill would have a positive effect on the unemployment rate. Without the stimulus, the two economists predicted, the unemployment rate would rise...
...when a book editor suggested Bernstein write a memoir, he countered with an ambitious proposal for an intellectual history. The result was Capital Ideas: The Improbable Origins of Modern Wall Street, an improbably charming tale of index funds, mathematical options-pricing models and new theories of corporate finance. It was a success, and Bernstein followed it in 1996 with a big best seller, Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk...
With that, Bernstein became an in-demand speaker, an industry wise man (one writer likened him to Yoda) and the foremost interpreter of the quantitative approach that came to dominate Wall Street. But he was never doctrinaire. When I sought his blessing for a book on the fall of the market philosophy whose rise he had sketched in Capital Ideas, he was enthusiastic--and even contributed a blurb for the back cover. When he died on June 5 at age 90, he was working on another book about risk. When that was done, he planned to finally get to work...