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...Afghanistan isn't the only extraneous concern. The unresolved question of the Palestinians remains a major obstacle to the U.S. finding any Arab support for a new war against Iraq. In its recent positions on the conflict, the Bush administration has essentially given Ariel Sharon carte blanche to do as he pleases in what had once been designated as Palestinian Authority-controlled territory. Despite a three-week lull in suicide bombings, there's little reason to believe Israel's reoccupation of West Bank cities will break the pattern of Israeli-Palestinian violence. Whatever Washington's own priorities, its interventions...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Bush Is in No Hurry on Iraq | 7/9/2002 | See Source »

...ethnic and tribal lines, and fear of its potential breakup as a state was one reason that restrained the first Bush administration from going all the way in 1991. Like Afghanistan, its internal divisions are of direct national security concern to its neighbors, particularly Turkey and Iran. And its Arab neighbors to the west are reluctant to see any weakening in the power of a state long regarded as the Arab world's bulwark against the geopolitical ambitions of Iran's revolutionary Shiites. But unlike Afghanistan, Iraq is a relatively modern state possessed of a strategically crucial oil industry...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Bush Is in No Hurry on Iraq | 7/9/2002 | See Source »

...concern for al-Qaeda. Nor, for that matter, has the pursuit of Palestinian statehood traditionally been a strategic priority for Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Jordan. And yet, today, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict not only dominates al-Qaeda's propaganda; it also dominates the diplomatic agenda of America's moderate Arab allies. The reason is simply that both sides recognize the emotional power of the Israeli-Palestinian issue to rally the Arab street. Mounting anger over violence in the West Bank and Gaza has created a domestic political crisis for Egypt, Jordan and Saudi Arabia, because of their governments' alliances with...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: How's al-Qaeda Doing? | 7/3/2002 | See Source »

...Through terror attacks against U.S. targets, al-Qaeda hopes to rally the virulent anti-American sentiment on the Arab streets, and to show potential supporters that their enemy is vulnerable to the actions of determined "jihadis." They can't hope to destroy America through terrorism, but they do believe that they have a fighting chance of fomenting a crisis that provokes the collapse of the pro-Western regimes in Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan and elsewhere. It is that battle for the hearts and minds of the Arab street that explains the centrality of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict in al-Qaeda...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: How's al-Qaeda Doing? | 7/3/2002 | See Source »

...allies in the Arab world have spent most of this year pressing President Bush to intervene in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and most have been quietly exasperated by the new policy he announced last week that made Yasser Arafat's ouster a precondition for progress. Continuing conflict in the West Bank and Gaza puts their alliance with the U.S. under domestic political strain, and there's considerable fear in Arab capitals that this tension will be exacerbated if - or more likely when - the U.S. ignores their reservations and invades Iraq. The Bush administration appears to be calculating that decisive action...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: How's al-Qaeda Doing? | 7/3/2002 | See Source »

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