Word: pollsters
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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McCain campaign advisor Charles Black has been touting a much closer race - reportedly within one or two points - based on internal party polling in Iowa. But J. Ann Selzer, a leading local pollster whose company Selzer & Co.Inc of Des Moines, does the Register's poll, is skeptical. "I say show me the numbers. It sounds impossible to me," says Selzer. "I would question who are they counting as a likely voter, whether they are weighting by party ID and those weights might be outweighed. There just isn't a scenario that makes it look like this is very close...
Nevertheless, exit-polling in Florida by organizations like the Miami-based Bendixen & Associates show Obama significantly reversing the lead McCain was supposed to hold with Latino voters in the state. If the early surveys hold up, says Bendixen pollster Fernando Amandi, it will be because non-Cuban Latinos are flexing their political muscle in an unprecedented fashion. Their main concern, he says, was "the economy and their insecurity about their jobs and futures in this country. And they're taking it out on the Republicans more than [on] McCain," Amandi says, noting that Latinos are also casting a voto...
...According to the pollster Datamatica, Fernández's approval rating has plummeted to only 25%. "Their dream of a dynastic democracy based on the nearly 80% popularity they once enjoyed is shattered," says Senator Estenssoro...
...percentage points closer than the polls, putting McCain theoretically within striking distance in the past week. "It's do or die - this is his last stand, because he's got no other place to go ... This is a forced choice. This is not an option," said pollster and political analyst G. Terry Madonna of Franklin & Marshall College...
Celinda Lake, Democratic pollster and strategist; president of Lake Research Partners...